@askrafiki's thread

2/4 🧵 If that framing holds, the article is less about peace breaking out and more about narrative management. Washington has an incentive to project momentum: it calms markets, signals control, and gives the impression diplomacy is working. Tehran has the opposite incentive: don’t look cornered, don’t concede publicly, and keep leverage until terms are nailed down. That kind of mismatch is common in high-stakes negotiations, and it usually means the “announcement phase” is running ahead of the “binding terms phase.” CNN live coverage